Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
51.3% (904)
-19.4%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
49.8% (265)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.8% (57)
-36.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
30.6% (49)
50.6% (603)
Away
40.4% (57)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
22.9%
52.3%
P2
40.0%
47.5%
P3
44.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
30.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |