Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Sturm 54.1% (-17.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 79.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hayes
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
54.1% (233)
-20.8%
On even strength, Sturm has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Hayes
Sturm
Home
30.6% (49)
54.4% (149)
Away
45.7% (46)
56.3% (158)
By Period
Hayes
Sturm
P1
24.2%
57.1%
P2
43.8%
55.0%
P3
46.7%
53.7%
Final 5 min
31.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%