Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Sturm 53.6% (-18.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Hayes
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
54.6% (271)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.4% (90)
-54.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Hayes
Sturm
Home
30.6% (49)
53.0% (168)
Away
40.4% (57)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Hayes
Sturm
P1
22.9%
58.2%
P2
40.0%
53.2%
P3
44.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
30.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%