Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Roy 48.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Hayes
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Roy
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Hayes
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
48.3% (633)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
52.1% (48)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
43.7% (87)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Hayes
Roy
Home
50.8% (313)
50.8% (376)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Hayes
Roy
P1
52.3%
53.8%
P2
47.7%
43.5%
P3
48.4%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |