Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Poehling 47.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 67.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Hayes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Hayes
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
45.1% (437)
-2.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
56.4% (39)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
61.5% (13)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Hayes
Poehling
Home
43.5% (232)
46.6% (232)
Away
42.4% (375)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Hayes
Poehling
P1
40.1%
43.9%
P2
44.8%
49.1%
P3
42.4%
46.4%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |