Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Poehling 47.4% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 85.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 69.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Hayes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Hayes
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
49.8% (626)
-17.9%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
58.3% (12)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.2% (207)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Hayes
Poehling
Home
30.6% (49)
47.3% (404)
Away
40.4% (57)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Hayes
Poehling
P1
22.9%
53.5%
P2
40.0%
39.4%
P3
44.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
30.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |