Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Poehling 46.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 79.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 81.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Hayes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Hayes
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
46.5% (269)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
66.7% (3)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
42.4% (139)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Hayes
Poehling
Home
50.8% (313)
45.2% (177)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Hayes
Poehling
P1
52.3%
47.7%
P2
47.7%
44.4%
P3
48.4%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |