Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 86.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 77.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Hayes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Hayes
Reinhart
Last 10: Hayes 9-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Reinhart
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Reinhart
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
1
Hayes
Reinhart
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
42.5% (2,173)
+5.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
46.5% (525)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
41.3% (339)
+4.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
48.1% (3,982)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
47.5%
44.5%
P2
47.6%
40.5%
P3
47.9%
44.5%
OT
54.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |