Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 53.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 52.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Hayes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Hayes
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
44.6% (345)
+12.0%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
43.3% (97)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
43.2% (88)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
58.0% (405)
47.9% (267)
Away
56.1% (433)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
54.7%
45.6%
P2
55.7%
42.0%
P3
60.2%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |