Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Hayes
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.4% (259)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
54.4% (136)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
47.9% (71)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
50.8% (313)
54.9% (235)
Away
48.2% (363)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
52.3%
52.3%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%