Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 80.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 62.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 65.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Hayes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hayes
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
48.0% (275)
-5.3%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
48.1% (52)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
53.1% (32)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
43.5% (232)
49.8% (201)
Away
42.4% (375)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
40.1%
54.8%
P2
44.8%
40.5%
P3
42.4%
50.0%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |