Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Reinhart 42.9% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 52.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 57.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hayes
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
39.0% (77)
-7.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
35.4% (48)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
30.6% (49)
35.7% (84)
Away
40.4% (57)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
22.9%
42.6%
P2
40.0%
34.7%
P3
44.4%
37.3%
Final 5 min
30.4%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%