Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+10.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 58.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Hayes
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
44.1% (324)
+7.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
40.3% (72)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
33.9% (118)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
50.5% (200)
40.5% (232)
Away
53.4% (253)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
58.8%
46.4%
P2
49.3%
32.6%
P3
48.0%
45.4%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
41.2%