Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Stamkos 52.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 85.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 75.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Hayes
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hayes
Stamkos
Last 6: Hayes 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Hayes
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Hayes
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Hayes
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
54.7% (179)
-9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
40.0% (15)
+5.2%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Hayes shoots left. Stamkos is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stamkos
Home
46.6% (459)
57.4% (108)
Away
44.8% (509)
48.9% (90)
By Period
Hayes
Stamkos
P1
43.0%
53.4%
P2
49.5%
51.7%
P3
44.7%
55.6%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |