Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Nosek 53.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 80.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 85.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 79.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Hayes
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Hayes
Nosek
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Hayes
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Hayes
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
8
Hayes
Nosek
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
54.9% (2,674)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
44.7% (47)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
47.4% (424)
-2.1%
On even strength, Nosek has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
47.5%
52.3%
P2
47.6%
54.0%
P3
47.9%
54.6%
OT
54.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |