Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Nosek 53.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 83.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 85.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 82.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Hayes
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Hayes
Nosek
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Hayes
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Hayes
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
8
Hayes
Nosek
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
55.0% (2,608)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
43.5% (46)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
48.6% (397)
-3.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
47.5%
52.5%
P2
47.7%
54.7%
P3
47.9%
54.6%
OT
54.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |