Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Nosek 58.0% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 96.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 77.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Hayes
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hayes
Nosek
Last 5: Hayes 0-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Hayes
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Hayes
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
59.7% (469)
-11.2%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
100.0% (4)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
56.5% (124)
+1.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
50.8% (313)
59.0% (295)
Away
48.2% (363)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
52.3%
56.3%
P2
47.7%
61.9%
P3
48.4%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |