Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Nosek 51.4% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Hayes
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
54.4% (215)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
0.0% (1)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
23.5% (17)
+42.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
58.0% (405)
50.4% (127)
Away
56.1% (433)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
54.7%
51.4%
P2
55.7%
51.3%
P3
60.2%
53.2%
Final 5 min
58.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%