Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Nosek 46.9% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 62.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hayes
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
48.5% (66)
-16.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
100.0% (1)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
29.6% (27)
-29.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
30.6% (49)
44.0% (25)
Away
40.4% (57)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
22.9%
46.4%
P2
40.0%
34.2%
P3
44.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
30.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%