Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Nosek 51.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 60.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Hayes
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Hayes
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
53.0% (400)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
33.3% (12)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
45.5% (44)
+14.5%
On power play, Hayes has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
50.5% (200)
49.6% (244)
Away
53.4% (253)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
58.8%
53.1%
P2
49.3%
51.4%
P3
48.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |