Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Nosek 53.4% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 58.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 67.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Hayes
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayes
Nosek
Last 7: Hayes 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Hayes
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Hayes
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
55.1% (557)
-12.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (4)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
47.7% (111)
-2.5%
On even strength, Nosek has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
43.5% (232)
52.3% (342)
Away
42.4% (375)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
40.1%
49.0%
P2
44.8%
53.8%
P3
42.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |