Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Frederic 54.7% (-22.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.6%
Defensive zone
Frederic 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.9%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Hayes
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Hayes
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
57.6% (151)
-25.7%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
66.7% (3)
-2.4%
On even strength, Frederic has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Frederic is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Hayes
Frederic
Home
30.6% (49)
55.6% (81)
Away
40.4% (57)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Hayes
Frederic
P1
22.9%
57.7%
P2
40.0%
54.3%
P3
44.4%
60.7%
Final 5 min
30.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |