Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Frederic 43.0% (+16.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.8%
Defensive zone
Frederic 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.5%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Hayes
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
31.9% (69)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
On even strength, Hayes has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Frederic is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Hayes
Frederic
Home
50.8% (313)
42.1% (19)
Away
48.2% (363)
30.2% (53)
By Period
Hayes
Frederic
P1
52.3%
32.1%
P2
47.7%
35.0%
P3
48.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
33.3%