Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Frederic 45.7% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hayes
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
42.6% (195)
+9.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
64.3% (14)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
25.0% (4)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Frederic is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Hayes
Frederic
Home
50.5% (200)
48.6% (107)
Away
53.4% (253)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Hayes
Frederic
P1
58.8%
37.5%
P2
49.3%
44.8%
P3
48.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%