Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Frederic 45.0% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Hayes
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
39.8% (88)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
0.0% (1)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Frederic is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Hayes
Frederic
Home
43.5% (232)
37.8% (45)
Away
42.4% (375)
40.9% (44)
By Period
Hayes
Frederic
P1
40.1%
32.4%
P2
44.8%
45.9%
P3
42.4%
38.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
39.3%