Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Frederic 46.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Hayes
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayes
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Hayes
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
45.8% (262)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
57.1% (7)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
36.4% (22)
+29.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Hayes
Frederic
Home
58.0% (405)
44.1% (152)
Away
56.1% (433)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Hayes
Frederic
P1
54.7%
41.7%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
60.2%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |