Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Frederic 50.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 58.2%
Defensive zone
Frederic 62.1%
Neutral zone
Frederic 50.8%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Hayes
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hayes
Frederic
Last 8: Hayes 5-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Frederic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
49.4% (77)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
75.0% (4)
-21.7%
On power play, Frederic has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Frederic is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Hayes
Frederic
Home
49.0% (531)
54.5% (33)
Away
49.6% (450)
47.9% (48)
By Period
Hayes
Frederic
P1
52.3%
48.3%
P2
45.8%
48.1%
P3
50.2%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |