Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 74.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 66.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hayes
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
61.9% (42)
-19.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
On even strength, Johnson has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Hayes
Johnson
Home
43.5% (232)
52.0% (25)
Away
42.4% (375)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Hayes
Johnson
P1
40.1%
72.0%
P2
44.8%
66.7%
P3
42.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |