Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Johnson 50.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Hayes
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
47.4% (78)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
57.6% (33)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
100.0% (2)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Hayes
Johnson
Home
50.8% (313)
50.9% (57)
Away
48.2% (363)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Hayes
Johnson
P1
52.3%
44.1%
P2
47.7%
59.4%
P3
48.4%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%