Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Johnson 51.4% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Hayes
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
63.6% (11)
-12.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Hayes
Johnson
Home
50.5% (200)
62.5% (8)
Away
53.4% (253)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Hayes
Johnson
P2
49.3%
85.7%
P3
48.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%