Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 84.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 89.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 83.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Hayes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Hayes
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hayes
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hayes
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
54.3% (955)
-11.6%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
64.6% (96)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
51.0% (194)
-5.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
43.5% (232)
58.3% (604)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
40.1%
53.9%
P2
44.8%
55.7%
P3
42.4%
54.3%
OT
80.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |