Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 83.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 83.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 82.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Hayes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayes
Trocheck
Last 7: Hayes 1-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Hayes
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hayes
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hayes
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
59.6% (1,032)
-8.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
62.1% (253)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
55.4% (249)
+4.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
50.5% (200)
61.7% (786)
Away
53.4% (253)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
58.8%
61.7%
P2
49.3%
58.8%
P3
48.0%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |