Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Hayes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayes
Trocheck
Last 7: Hayes 3-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
4
Hayes
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
55.0% (956)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
59.8% (266)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
56.3% (64)
+2.0%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
50.8% (313)
57.7% (673)
Away
48.2% (363)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
52.3%
55.4%
P2
47.7%
55.6%
P3
48.4%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |