Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 58.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Hayes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayes
Trocheck
Last 5: Hayes 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hayes
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
57.6% (1,061)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
65.1% (338)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
49.5% (101)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
58.0% (405)
61.8% (735)
Away
56.1% (433)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
54.7%
57.7%
P2
55.7%
57.9%
P3
60.2%
60.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |