Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-20.8%)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 51.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 69.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Hayes
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
57.8% (626)
-25.9%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
63.6% (151)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.0% (141)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Hayes
Trocheck
Home
30.6% (49)
54.4% (390)
Away
40.4% (57)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Hayes
Trocheck
P1
22.9%
56.4%
P2
40.0%
58.7%
P3
44.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
30.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%