Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 55.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Hayes
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Hayes
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
51.4% (735)
-8.7%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
63.5% (115)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
42.9% (133)
+2.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Hayes
Karlsson
Home
43.5% (232)
52.3% (524)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Hayes
Karlsson
P1
40.1%
50.7%
P2
44.8%
51.4%
P3
42.4%
53.2%
OT
80.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |