Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-21.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Hayes
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
58.5% (135)
-26.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
80.0% (5)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Hayes
Karlsson
Home
30.6% (49)
63.7% (91)
Away
40.4% (57)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Hayes
Karlsson
P1
22.9%
54.4%
P2
40.0%
66.7%
P3
44.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
30.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%