Kevin Hayes vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 67.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Hayes
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Hayes
Karlsson
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
9
5
Hayes
Karlsson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
13
8
Hayes
Karlsson
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
9
Hayes
Karlsson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
51.8% (7,849)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
54.8% (1,048)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
44.2% (1,109)
+1.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Hayes
Karlsson
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Hayes
Karlsson
P1
47.5%
50.3%
P2
47.6%
51.3%
P3
47.9%
52.4%
OT
54.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |