Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Gourde 52.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Hayes
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayes
Gourde
Last 7: Hayes 3-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Hayes
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
54.7% (243)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
50.0% (24)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
37.5% (16)
+1.1%
On even strength, Gourde has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Gourde is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gourde
Home
49.0% (531)
54.1% (133)
Away
49.6% (450)
52.7% (150)
By Period
Hayes
Gourde
P1
52.3%
54.5%
P2
45.8%
52.6%
P3
50.2%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |