Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 61.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 71.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Hayes
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
49.1% (731)
-6.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
54.3% (81)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
48.2% (85)
-3.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gourde
Home
43.5% (232)
50.9% (479)
Away
42.4% (375)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Hayes
Gourde
P1
40.1%
51.2%
P2
44.8%
49.8%
P3
42.4%
47.5%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |