Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Hayes
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hayes
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.1% (847)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
79.5% (44)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
39.5% (81)
+18.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gourde
Home
50.8% (313)
50.1% (491)
Away
48.2% (363)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Hayes
Gourde
P1
52.3%
54.7%
P2
47.7%
45.0%
P3
48.4%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |