Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 75.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Hayes
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
47.2% (654)
-15.3%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
45.0% (20)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
32.2% (87)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gourde
Home
30.6% (49)
44.1% (322)
Away
40.4% (57)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Hayes
Gourde
P1
22.9%
42.4%
P2
40.0%
49.8%
P3
44.4%
44.3%
Final 5 min
30.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%