Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Duchene 52.8% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 82.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Eller
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
46.9% (162)
+4.2%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
73.2% (56)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
100.0% (2)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Eller
Duchene
Home
51.2% (510)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.8% (521)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Eller
Duchene
P1
50.7%
56.9%
P2
49.0%
52.5%
P3
48.3%
51.9%
OT
56.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%