Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.9%). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Eller
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Eller
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
53.9% (193)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
49.2% (65)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
100.0% (1)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Eller
Duchene
Home
56.4% (486)
54.9% (113)
Away
51.2% (537)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Eller
Duchene
P1
55.1%
54.9%
P2
55.3%
52.7%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |