Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Duchene 51.6% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Eller
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
51.2% (324)
+5.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
60.4% (53)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
16.7% (6)
+39.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Eller
Duchene
Home
53.1% (211)
51.6% (182)
Away
59.7% (278)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Eller
Duchene
P1
55.4%
49.6%
P2
58.1%
56.2%
P3
57.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%