Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Eller
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Eller
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
53.0% (723)
-0.2%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
49.5% (101)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
43.8% (16)
+1.7%
On power play, Eller has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Eller
Duchene
Home
52.6% (340)
54.9% (408)
Away
51.8% (411)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Eller
Duchene
P1
52.4%
52.5%
P2
54.1%
51.7%
P3
50.0%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |