Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Backlund 49.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 83.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Eller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
50.1% (891)
+6.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
53.1% (64)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
47.8% (278)
+8.7%
On power play, Eller has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Eller
Backlund
Home
53.1% (211)
48.1% (580)
Away
59.7% (278)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Eller
Backlund
P1
55.4%
45.1%
P2
58.1%
54.7%
P3
57.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |