Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 51.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Eller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
51.0% (1,205)
+1.8%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
59.3% (108)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
42.3% (234)
+3.9%
On power play, Eller has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Eller
Backlund
Home
54.5% (448)
51.2% (782)
Away
50.2% (484)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Eller
Backlund
P1
52.8%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
49.8%
P3
53.4%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |