Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 56.2% vs Frost 54.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Eller
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (306)
54.1% (521)
+3.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
59.6% (141)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (35)
100.0% (5)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Eller shoots left. Frost is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Eller
Frost
Home
52.7% (150)
57.2% (339)
Away
62.0% (200)
54.0% (328)
By Period
Eller
Frost
P1
54.1%
58.2%
P2
59.6%
55.6%
P3
59.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
63.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |