Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Frost 51.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 80.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Eller
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Eller
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
50.3% (825)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
54.9% (204)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
50.0% (4)
-4.5%
On power play, Eller has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Eller
Frost
Home
52.6% (340)
50.7% (489)
Away
51.8% (411)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Eller
Frost
P1
52.4%
53.6%
P2
54.1%
47.8%
P3
50.0%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |