Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Frost 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 82.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Eller
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Eller
Frost
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Eller
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
3
Eller
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
48.6% (704)
+4.2%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
55.7% (115)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
25.0% (4)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Eller
Frost
Home
54.5% (448)
49.9% (399)
Away
50.2% (484)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Eller
Frost
P1
52.8%
51.2%
P2
50.9%
53.9%
P3
53.4%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |